01925nas a2200313 4500000000100000000000100001008004100002260000900043653002700052653001000079653004800089653001000137653004100147653002400188653004100212653002700253653001900280653002300299653002700322100001900349700002200368700001700390700001900407700001900426245006400445300001200509490000700521520108300528 2013 d c201310aComprehensive approach10aEUCIP10aEuropean Critical Infrastructure Protection10aFOCUS10aGeneralised Security Research System10aIncident Management10aNationalisation of Security Research10aPublic Health Research10aScenario Space10aSecurity Economics10aSecurity Research 20351 aThomas Benesch1 aJohannes Goellner1 aAndreas Peer1 aJohann Hoechtl1 aWalter Seboeck00aScenario Space for Alternative Futures of Security Research a111-1190 v293 a
FOCUS (“Foresight Security Scenarios – Mapping Research to a Comprehensive Approach to Exogenous EU Roles”) aims namely to define the most plausible threat scenarios that affect the “borderline” between the EU’s external and internal dimensions to security. This article presents scenarios about alternative futures of security research to support a comprehensive approach of the “EU 2035” as a civil security provider. Three scenarios were selected as context scenarios for alternative futures of security research afterwards they have been lined up with drivers identified in a matrix procedure. From these three context scenarios six alternative futures for security research were evaluated using the portfolio-cluster-method. The weighting was done from a dual and interdependent perspective: a) nation/ member state vs. EU-level/international approach to civil security and b) position of the scenario on the continuum of internal/external security. Finally, the article introduces each scenario for alternative future of security research in detail.