01169nas a2200241   4500000000100000000000100001008004100002653003900043653002800082653001600110653002500126653001400151653001500165653000800180653002400188653002100212653002800233100001800261245009100279300001200370490000700382520053800389       2013                            d10aCritical Infrastructure Protection10across-border resiliency10aEU security10aEU security research10aforesight10aPetersberg10aR&D10areference scenarios10aresearch roadmap10ascenario-based planning1 aBrooks Tigner00aReferencing the Future: The EU’s Projected Security Roles and Their R&D Implications  a120-1260 v293 a<p>This paper describes the methodology of how the FOCUS project’s initial 24 thematic scenarios – covering five security “Big Themes” – were cross-referenced and distilled to a single Reference scenario for each of the five Themes. Each Reference scenario thus points to a future security role the EU could be expected to play in the year 2035 and its implied Security Research objectives needed to support that role – all thus forming the basis for FOCUS’ ultimate goal: a roadmap for future EU Security Research.</p>